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Anonymous Anonymous said...

If the YES crew doesn't get a -10 I won't know how to handle it.

August 5, 2008 at 8:06 AM

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nice west coast bias, Cam. Two in a row? Take that, ESPN. You showed them. Yankees next? Please?

August 5, 2008 at 8:09 AM

Blogger Aaron C. said...

Ummm...you'll probably wanna skip the Yankees post, Tom. In my defense, though, they paired up Kay with only David Cone and the results weren't nearly as...bah, I've said too much.

Tell you what, Jon...you've been with me since the 411mania days, I'll throw a Yankees fan a bone and tomorrow give you the SoS on the New York (pause...wait for it) Mets.

SNY what I did there? HAW~!

August 5, 2008 at 9:41 AM

Blogger Joshua Wolfe said...

physioc and hudler irritate me so badly that i watch the angels more often when they are on national TV so i do not have to listen to the idiots. their particular badness is on part with walton-lawler.

and, yes, there are such things as 'productive outs'.

by the way, if you review the dodgers with anybody but vin announcing, i will be forced to cause physical harm upon your person and perma-ban you from casa sanchez goodness.

August 5, 2008 at 11:56 PM

Blogger Aaron C. said...

I've got a Dodgers game in the queue and I'm pretty sure Vin Scully is going to be my host for the evening.

And, I don't believe in productive outs as "outs" are bad. All of 'em, save for a walk-off sac fly, I s'pose.

August 6, 2008 at 12:12 AM

Blogger Joshua Wolfe said...

outs are obviously not GoodThings[tm]. on the other hand, some outs are more productive than others.

with nobody out and a man on 2nd, if your hitter does a jack cust (that was for you) then your runner is still stranded on 2nd. next hitter hits a franchise special warning track flyball and you MAYBE get a runner on 3rd.

go back one batter and, if your batter was able to make contact in a sufficient way to move the runner than the franchise special delivers a run. THAT run could maybe deliver the beane boys past the first round . . . for once.

just sayin'.

August 7, 2008 at 12:54 AM

Blogger Aaron C. said...

Arrgh. Joe Morgan's contention that the A's don't do well in the playoffs because they don't bunt or play small ball is simply not true, Thai. Baseball-Reference has all the boxscores, if you didn't see the games. The A's lost cuz their pitching failed them, cuz they made several bad baserunning mistakes (Byrnes, Tejada, Je. Giambi) or due to bad playoff rotation construction (Heredia goes twice in 2000 ALDS?)

As for "productive outs", they just don't exist for the most part. In any given inning, a runner on first base with no one out will lead to more runs scored (on average) for his team, than a runner on second base with one out (assuming he was bunted or "productive outed" over).

A Cust "K" vs. a sac fly is still an out and, again on average, doesn't increase the likelihood of a run in any really measurable way.

There are stats out there that prove this pretty clearly (simple, non-VORPy ones). Believe 'em if you want :)

August 7, 2008 at 5:44 AM

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