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Post a Comment On: Doug Ross @ Journal

"CHART: The Obama Defectors and What They Mean"

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Blogger Jewish Odysseus said...

Actually, my fellow statistical friend, if this analysis overstates the defectors by 50%, then that means ~6 million plus (not 9 million) votes are deducted from Obama and added to Romney...giving Romney a 3 million vote edge.

I believe you meant if it overstates the defections by **100%** (i.e., ~4.5 million defections vs. 9 million) that it winds up a tie.

As I have just blogged, I see a 10%+ edge for Romney, and I give my reasons there. And I used this fascinating WaPo (HAAHH!!) analysis.

10:07 PM

Blogger Doom said...

Urhm, you mean... historic, again... after the last mid-term? Heh.

Why do I expect the Romney landslide to be a complete "surprise" and totally "unexpected"? Though those terms seem quite familiar, for some reason.

11:09 AM

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