Some time ago, I purchased a bitcoin for a little under $300,- CAD.
My reasoning went like this:
There is a non-zero chance of bitcoin replacing USD as default currency. Let's put it at 1 in 1000.
There is a hard limit of 21M bitcoins.
If in 2030, the world uses bitcoins, then those 21M coins will represent the entire money supply of the world's default currency.
My 1 bitcoin will represent 1/21Mth of the world's money in 2030, with a 1:1000 chance.
The world money supply divided by 21M and then divided by 1000, is still worth a lot more than the $300,- I paid for it.
In addition, I've started mining the bitcoin as well, using an ASIC miner.
The bitcoin price fluctuates wildly, and it's hard to make sense of it.
However, I find that treating the price logarithmically helps a lot.
You can actually make out a trend, when you use that.
Here is the price up to dec 11, 2013.
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"Bitcoin, logarithmically"
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